How Is Obama Doing In The Swing States?


A recent NBC/WSJ national poll reported that Barack Obama is beating Mitt Romney 47-44, but is doing even better in the key swing states, where 50 percent of respondents said they’d vote for him, compared to just 42 percent for Romney. (Record levels of support among Latinos, obviously, doesn’t hurt.)

But how does he fare in a state by state breakdown? We looked at some other recent numbers to see how Obama’s is doing in the places that will decide the election.

Ohio

According to a recent Quinnipiac University poll, Obama is winning Ohio 47 to 38, while another recent poll showed him up by 3. Other polls are mixed, but Obama is definitely in the lead.

Pennsylvania

Rick Santorum would have no shot in his home state. Quinnipiac shows Obama up by 6. No other polls contradict these numbers.

Florida

Republican Governor Rick Scott is not well-liked, and recent polling from Quinnipiac shows Obama up by four, an incredible swing over the past month in a state where Romney previously was more popular. The data is still mixed — definitely a toss-up.

North Carolina

Both Republican and Democratic pollsters show Romney with a very slight lead. Will the Democratic convention later in the year change the race?

Virginia

With the help of former Governor and DNC Chairman Tim Kaine, who is now running for Senate, Obama may be able to easily lock up a state that he won in 2008.

More importantly, how would Mitt Romney look in a funny costume?

Start your day with National Memo Newsletter

Know first.

The opinions that matter. Delivered to your inbox every morning

Public parks

Public parks belong to the public, right? A billionaire can't cordon off an acre of Golden Gate Park for his private party. But can a poor person — or anyone who claims they can't afford a home — take over public spaces where children play and families experience nature?

Keep reading...Show less
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

A series of polls released this week show Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s quixotic candidacy might attract more Republican-leaning voters in 2024 than Democrats. That may have been what prompted former President Donald Trump to release a three-post screed attacking him.

Keep reading...Show less
{{ post.roar_specific_data.api_data.analytics }}